Coronavirus outbreak

Studies on epidemic forecasting

Communicating the Risk of Death from Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19).

Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020.

Emergence of a novel coronavirus causing respiratory illness from Wuhan, China.

The association between domestic train transportation and novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven correlational report.

Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak.

Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study.

Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia.

Real-Time Estimation of the Risk of Death from Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection: Inference Using Exported Cases.

Comments on "Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven Analysis in the early phase of the outbreak".

The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana.

Risk Assessment of Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 Outbreaks Outside China.

Early phylogenetic estimate of the effective reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2.

Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis.

2019 Novel coronavirus: where we are and what we know.

Short-term Forecasts of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Guangdong and Zhejiang, China: February 13-23, 2020.

An updated estimation of the risk of transmission of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCov).

[Analysis on epidemic situation and spatiotemporal changes of COVID-19 in Anhui].

Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020.

Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in china by Boltzmann function-based regression analyses.

[Study on assessing early epidemiological parameters of coronavirus disease epidemic in China].

[Dynamic basic reproduction number based evaluation for current prevention and control of COVID-19 outbreak in China].

[Fitting and forecasting the trend of COVID-19 by SEIR(+ CAQ) dynamic model].

Trend and forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak in China.

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts.

Backcalculating the Incidence of Infection with COVID-19 on the Diamond Princess.

Victoria Pianca

This timespace follows the World Health Organization's situation reports regarding the COVID-19 outbreak that started in Hubei, China, in January 2020. Cover photograph taken in Japan by Jérémy Stenuit.

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